SportsNation site of the day: Me

That was us, yesterday:

You can check out SportsNation on ESPN2 or online. They picked up on my Belichick bit from yesterday. The show is supposed to just be fun, though I note that my point was more that Belichick had a legitimate case that the odds were very close, if not actually in his favor. It’s fine if you want to disagree, but that disagreement is going to be based off your gut, in which case I think it’s difficult to say he clearly made the wrong choice. But overlaying it all is that few people are able to think about possible outcomes, rather than purely with hindsight.

And (I know the show is just supposed to be entertaining), Colin’s criticism that “stats can be overrated” reminds me of the words of wisdom of another great scholar:

arrested-development-segway

“I hear the jury’s still out on . . . science.”

  • I think you’re onto something here, Chris. Cowherd even looks like Gob.

  • Wow. They PAY people to do that…? Wow.

  • SRS

    The real lesson in all of this is that if you give Peyton Manning a chance to win the game, there’s a 70% chance you’re screwed.

  • Todd

    This is one of the big problems with sports punditry, it’s all gut stuff and people say things like “stats are overrated” or “so and so is a better quarterback because he wins more/has the intangibles/[insert subjective reasoning here].” I realize it’s football and a certain amount of meatheadedness is inevitable, but it is actually a good thing to have some knowledge of statistics and such.

  • Loomis

    Getting dissed by Colin Cowherd means you’re doing something right. Keep it up!

  • Hutch

    I find a new reason to love this site everyday. Arrested Development and football. Two great ingredients.

  • james

    “…my point was more that Belichick had a legitimate case that the odds were very close, if not actually in his favor.”

    Well said. That’s what I find so fascinating about this whole thing–the entire football-watching world is choosing sides and weighing in over a decision that, by all but the most warped standards of analysis, was pretty reasonable.

    If we lived in a world where people had rational opinions on football strategy, Cris Collinsworth would’ve said “you could probably make an argument for punting here, but I think this is the right call” as the Patriots offense lined up on 4th down, and that would’ve been the end of the discussion. It has never been so clear that we don’t live in such a world.

  • George T. Zebra

    If we lived in a world where people had rational opinions on anything, a lot of people would be a lot better off (not least economists).

    ( http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Rational_choice_theory )

  • Homyrrh

    Well done, Mr. Brown. Props for the mention.

    I won an argument with you post, BTW. Thanks.

  • james

    Good point. I figure we can start with football, and then maybe move on to politics, cable news, lottery tickets, and so on. (I mean, it’s always easier to explain stuff with a football metaphor, right?)

    It seems to me, though, that economists would be worse off. There wouldn’t be any work for them.

  • Great job, I can’t believe he said stats are overrated.

  • Great articles to this point — as a mathematician and statistician, not only do I agree with the call, I’m sickened by the large number of people who call it stupid for no reason other than that it didn’t work.

    I’m not surprised to see you got dissed by Cowherd — that guy’s a donkey.